Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
191 Iona 100.0%   16   17 - 15 12 - 6 17 - 15 12 - 6 -2.0      +1.7 128 -3.7 265 75.8 40 -3.4 214 -2.4 1
213 Rider 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 7 16 - 15 11 - 7 -2.8      -1.9 232 -0.9 193 82.2 11 -4.0 224 -4.0 4
228 Quinnipiac 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 7 16 - 14 11 - 7 -3.8      +0.6 159 -4.4 289 66.8 231 -5.1 245 -3.8 3
250 Siena 0.0%   17 - 16 11 - 7 17 - 16 11 - 7 -5.4      -2.7 253 -2.7 248 56.0 352 -4.2 228 -4.0 5
268 Canisius 0.0%   15 - 17 11 - 7 15 - 17 11 - 7 -6.3      -1.4 213 -4.8 300 68.9 170 -4.3 231 -3.2 2
277 Marist 0.0%   12 - 19 7 - 11 12 - 19 7 - 11 -6.7      -2.8 256 -3.8 272 62.6 326 -7.6 284 -8.6 8
279 Monmouth 0.0%   14 - 21 10 - 8 14 - 21 10 - 8 -6.7      -7.2 332 +0.5 152 68.6 177 -5.6 255 -4.7 6
291 Fairfield 0.0%   9 - 22 6 - 12 9 - 22 6 - 12 -7.5      -5.9 316 -1.6 219 69.9 144 -10.8 322 -10.4 11
305 St. Peter's 0.0%   10 - 22 6 - 12 10 - 22 6 - 12 -8.6      -6.3 321 -2.3 239 60.5 343 -10.0 316 -10.3 10
307 Niagara 0.0%   13 - 19 6 - 12 13 - 19 6 - 12 -9.0      -1.5 216 -7.5 344 73.8 67 -7.9 290 -9.9 9
316 Manhattan 0.0%   11 - 21 8 - 10 11 - 21 8 - 10 -9.5      -9.3 340 -0.3 172 58.4 351 -8.9 306 -7.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Iona 1.0 100.0
Rider 2.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 2.0 100.0
Siena 2.0 100.0
Canisius 2.0 100.0
Marist 8.0 100.0
Monmouth 6.0 100.0
Fairfield 9.0 100.0
St. Peter's 9.0 100.0
Niagara 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Iona 12 - 6 100.0
Rider 11 - 7 100.0
Quinnipiac 11 - 7 100.0
Siena 11 - 7 100.0
Canisius 11 - 7 100.0
Marist 7 - 11 100.0
Monmouth 10 - 8 100.0
Fairfield 6 - 12 100.0
St. Peter's 6 - 12 100.0
Niagara 6 - 12 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona 100.0% 100.0
Rider
Quinnipiac
Siena
Canisius
Marist
Monmouth
Fairfield
St. Peter's
Niagara
Manhattan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 100.0
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 100.0% 91.1% 67.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 67.1% 0.7 32.9 67.1
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0